“A big wave of Republicans is coming. Apparently, this is a data point that many who tweet about it have failed to realize,” said Steve Shale of the Democratic Party in Florida, who is uniting the pro-Biden Super PAC nation.
“The numbers are very shocking to us, and the revenue rates and turnout are good,” Shale said. “But there’s a lot we don’t know.”
For starters, Republicans show their data has more than 400,000 voters, who have not yet voted compared to Democrats. Republicans have indicated they will vote directly for opinion polls and the Trump campaign.
“Voting in Florida is a marathon. What you see is a sprint from the Democrats, ”said Susie Wiles, Trump’s Florida campaign director. “But we have a large number of voters on our side. It should be noted in all the exaggerations about the Democrats’ front. We are not done..”
The massive imbalance, along with the vote showing Biden leading Trump to some extent, has left Democrats in a virtual trance. Activists and consultants say this A sign that their page is too excited About to leave.
Despite the dominance of the non-Republican ballot game in Florida, Trump’s monstrous voting by mail has played a role in the relatively weak performance of the GOP to date.
Democrats began to lead Absent ballot requests, Trump’s campaign responded Registering more voters, And boasts of a larger and deeper domain project that could see more voters in person than Biden’s campaign.
Although the government monitors the income of party voters, officials do not open the ballot and schedule actual votes, thereby estimating revenue approximately, but not an accurate picture of which candidate wins the election. In the past, however, both parties have used non-existent ballot revenue as a first step in measuring voter turnout.
Both sides are seeking an election that could garner a total of 9.8 million votes.
As of Tuesday, Democrats accounted for 51 percent of the nearly 1.8 million votes cast so far. Republicans cast about 520,000 votes, or 29 percent of the total.
The remaining 20 percent of the votes cast so far have been cast by independent voters with no party affiliation or small third parties.
It is difficult to gauge the will of these independent voters, but opinion polls suggest Biden won them over. In addition, according to Florida Democrats’ internal analysis, its samples show that 31 percent of independent voters already cast ballots are similar to Democrats because their age and race are so closely related to that of Biden voters; Only 11 percent are like Trump voters.
Republicans argue that Democrats are largely “cannibalizing” their election day votes. But both sides agree that Democrats are expelling tens of thousands of low-income voters, yet they do not accept the significance. Democrats say they have a margin of less than 40,000 proactive voters because more of their constituents are eager to leave. Republicans oppose Democrats somehow having that kind of electorate, so they will always have an advantage.
Democrats also point to beating Republicans when replacing newly registered voters, All of this is happening because of the appearance of Florida seniors who generally support Republicans Very winnable for Biden Compared to what they voted for in 2016 this year.
Four years ago, Hillary Clinton defeated pre-election voters by a margin of 247,000 more votes than Trump. But Republicans voted in such large numbers on election day that he won by a margin of nearly 113,000 votes overall.
Michael McDonald, Professor of Political Science, University of Florida Monitors early voting across the country, Echoes data analysts Oct.
“There is no historical comparison. This is the problem … there are a lot of pieces to the riddle,” McDonald said, pointing to changes in voting patterns on both sides due to campaign tactics, candidates’ rhetoric, contagion and concerns about the delivery of the postal service.
Although there is no historical analogy, McDonald expects Republicans to close the gap.
“On election day,” a big red wave is coming, “he said.
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