A number of senior economists are (or: were) against the current lockdown. The British variant of the virus is not too bad, they say. One explains: “In December I also performed detailed calculations and models for the distribution of the UK variant. I feel like fear has been wrongly sown about this. What does this statement do about the perception of science?
They look so awesome, these RIVM models. But what exactly does such a model represent? Apparently you’ve assembled a model like this, you might think – between Christmas turkey and oliebollen. Plus, this economist does this on his own – you don’t need an entire institute for that.
This economist model is also much better. The RIVM calculations are so wrong that there is “fear”.
And then the “I” in that statement. Normally, a scientist submits his model to fellow scientists. They look for weaknesses and the model takes advantage of them. You only come out after a positive judgment. But here the economist comes out immediately. What is the consequence? Scientific colleagues are forced to criticize in public, which is not tender: “fundamental error”, “absurd”, “stupid”.
The image: each scientist has his own model and scientists are fighting in the streets. Science is only an opinion.
With a smart term, you can not only describe reality, but also create it. Hans de Bruijn is an expert in public administration and a specialist in debate. It analyzes the guiding language of policy makers every week.