UvA scientists predict: ‘Jeangu will be ninth and this country will win’

With the “evergreens”, songs that we still sing after years, a “pure and repeated” melody is particularly important. “These are ‘catchy tunes’. It is important that you hear the melody of these songs at least once without intermediate accompaniment. Because the accompaniment is a distraction, ”explains the musicologist.

Just dance

If we look specifically at the songs on Eurovision Song Contest, it’s not just the melody. “The rhythmic patterns often do well here, a kind of dance-pop feeling. And a melody that is not too simple, but certainly not too complicated. Serbia, for example, is doing very well this year.

What is also important, according to Burgoyne, is that a song is “a typical Eurovision song”. “The more typical the song, the better the performance. The Dutch expression: just act normally, then you do it, strangely enough, absolutely applies here. “

Jeangu at number nine

The winners of recent years seem to be deviating from that a bit. But even the hysterical number Toy Israel as of 2018, is basically a very “ normal ” number, according to the scientist. “If you look through the chicken chuckle and the show and just listen to the music.”

Did scientists expect Duncan Laurence to win the Eurovision Song Contest? “No, actually not, if you look at our model. Twenty percent is about music and eighty percent is often about performing. Arcade was not a spectacular performance. But I think the way he did it was exactly what touched people. Apparently it works too.

The winner will be this year, according to the model of UvA, Belgium. “It’s not necessarily the loudest in terms of rhythmic patterns or the loudest in terms of ‘typical Eurovosion sound’. But The wrong place is pretty good at everything. The country with the most “typical” number this year is Denmark, according to Burgoyne.

Pull this @JeanguMacrooy, the choristers A Mili, Xillan and the dancer / choreographer Gil are present during their performance at Eurovision #Song Festival! https://t.co/HHOBX3nWAr

– Eurovision Song Contest (@songfestival) May 13, 2021

Jeangu Macrooy

And the question that concerns us all: how will Jeangu Macrooy do according to science? “Our model gives Jeangu the 9th place. Everyone is disappointed when I tell them that, but 9 out of 39 is really not bad.” And it is good to know that predicting the Eurovision Song Contest is very difficult. Our counters are good, but it is certainly not impossible that he will win again.

He thinks so Birth of a new age certainly has a great chance of becoming a Eurovision Song Contest hit and “singing”. “Maybe even more than Arcade. The melody is very well balanced. And the combination with the Surinamese language also makes it very special. “

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