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The first real heat wave of this summer in Spain has only just ended, but some weather forecast models are already pointing to a possible second heat wave for the coming week, according to the model of the European Center. In the worst case scenario presented by this probability model, we can expect temperatures as high as 48 or 49 degrees in parts of southern Spain.
The website Meteor explains, however, that weather forecast more than five to six days in advance is risky. We will therefore have to wait to be able to determine more precisely what will happen to the possible heat wave. The uncertainty always increases significantly as the forecast moves further into the future and the margin of error of the weather forecast increases.
What seems clear in any case is that a band of very warm air will cross the country this weekend. The regions of Spain most affected by the heat will be the eastern half of mainland Spain, as well as the Balearic and Canary Islands.
However, not all models predict temperatures up to 49 degrees. Other scenarios suggest slightly less extreme temperatures. In some cases temperatures would reach 42 or 43 degrees and in other scenarios they would hover around 45 degrees.
The Spanish Meteorological Service AEMET indicated that temperatures in the first days of July will be normal for this time of year, but will increase significantly towards the end of the week. Rubén del Campo, spokesperson for AEMET, explains that it will be particularly hot in the center, the south and the Balearic Islands and that there will be regular strong storms in the northeast of the continent, which will develop mainly in the afternoon.
However, after these usual weather conditions for the month of July, he warns of “the possible arrival of a mass of very hot air” from Africa which will reach the Spanish mainland next Friday. This will lead to a further increase in temperatures to very high levels in the east and south of the continent and in the Balearic Islands, although he recognizes that “there is still uncertainty as to which areas could be most affected. “.
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