The latest death toll is not a blueprint. Dark days are ahead, warns Syracuse Govt expert

Syracuse, NY – Nine months after the outbreak, Onondaga County residents can be forgiven for believing 18 people died Corona virus Patients once a day on Wednesdays. A block. They are not.

A local expert says there will be days like Wednesday from the crowd of Govt-19 patients at Syracuse hospitals.

Dr. Stephen Thomas said it was cold hard math. He is president of Infectious Diseases at Upstate Medical University Chief investigator worldwide For clinical testing of the corona virus vaccine developed by Pfizer and Bioendech.

Syracuse hospitals today have three times more coronavirus patients than they did in the spring, and the last deaths were high. Some parts of them will die, Thomas said. We may see 18 deaths disappear again in a day, but we will see a painful number in greater numbers, he said.

The Govt areas at the Upstate Hospital where Thomas works are the most discharged with patients. In the intensive care units, one-third of Kovit patients are on ventilators, he said.

As the virus spreads throughout the community, it eventually reaches the vulnerable and elderly who are at risk of dying.

“Those people end up in the hospital,” Thomas said. “A certain percentage of them are going to die. That is what we see. ” ‘

Yes, hospitals are better at treating coyote now than they were in the spring. Most patients recover faster. The average patient’s accommodation is limited.

But Thomas said the virus is dangerous for some patients. The more cases there are, the more casualties.

“I don’t see how we can avoid it,” he said.

County Administrator Ryan McMahon announced it Wednesday 18 district residents were killed Of Govt-19, much more than an epidemic in central New York. The previous one-day record for deaths was set at 11, Saturday. There were 91 deaths in the first 16 days of this month, on average more than five a day.

Unfortunately, there is no end in sight.

Every day, hospitals in Syracuse set new records in the number of Govt-19 patients. Hospitals had 299 county residents Wednesday, and 78 came from outside the county, McMahon said. After all, Govt patients accounted for almost every third patient in a hospital bed.

“It’s incredible how different it is now compared to spring,” Thomas said.

The numbers stumble. The outbreak of the corona virus, which began around Halloween, hospitalized three times more Govt-19 patients than it did in the spring in November and December. The number of patients in intensive care is on average 62% higher and continues to rise.

Upstate units reserved for corona virus patients are being filled, Thomas said – “no room in the room is being filled.”

When the corona virus struck New York State in the spring, it was one of the lowest in Central New York State. On the other hand, the downstream areas were destroyed.

This time it was different. Central New York is a hotspot compared to most parts of New York. The death toll from Covid-19 in Onondaga County over the past seven days – 12.2 per 100,000 residents – has tripled on average for the state as a whole. New York State reported 686 deaths or 3.5 per 100,000 population in the first week of December.

What changed?

Like many parts of the country, Syracuse also seems to suffer from a lack of resolution from the public to avoid contact with others and to protect each other by wearing masks, Thomas said. The danger to the most vulnerable residents is that many do not appreciate the spread of the virus, he said.

“Like the rest of the country, it is up to individuals to make decisions,” Thomas said. “It really comes down to that. ” ‘

News Tips? Story ideas? Contact Tim Nows, a former reporter at Syracuse.com/: Email | Twitter | | 315-470-3023

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