Data scientists predict no less than 17 Dutch cycling medals at the Olympic Games

Sports data agency Gracenote is predicting on a scientific basis (after extensive data searches, including important competitions from the past four years) all medalists at the next Olympic Games.

This week took the office outside that the Netherlands will bring home a shipment of medals from Tokyo. 46 to be precise and that would put us in 5th place in the medal ranking. An absolute record – in 2016 the Netherlands won 19 medals.

According to Gracenote, this unprecedented look is mainly achieved by sailors and … cyclists.

This last word of the press release naturally began to sound the alarm bells for us. We reached out to Gracenote and they sent us a list of riders they think will win medals in Tokyo. Below are the results of their searches by section.

As you can read, Dutch cyclists would prefer 17 medals to fear – and then Mathieu van der Poel is not even there, more on this subject under the MTB section …

Road cycling: 5 Dutch medals

Men’s road race *:
1. Wout van Aert (Bel)
Julian Alaphilippe (Fra)
Kasper Asgreen (Den)

Men’s Time Trial:
1. Filippo Ganna (Ita)
2. Rohan Dennis (Aus)
3. Primoz Roglic (Slo)

Women’s road race:
1. Anna van der Breggen (Ned)
2. Annemiek van Vleuten (Ned)
Marianne Vos (Ned)

Women’s Time Trial:
1. Anna van der Breggen (Ned)
2. Annemiek van Vleuten (Ned)
3. Chloe Dygert (VS)

* Simon Gleave, Analytics Manager at Gracenote, let us know in the accompanying email that the men’s road race is one of the most unpredictable events in all of the Olympic Games.

Track cycling: 8 Dutch medals

Keirin mannen:
Harrie Lavreysen (Ned)
2. Matthijs Büchli (Ned)
3. Azizul Hasni Awang (Mal)

Keirin Women:
1. Emma Hinze (Germany)
2. Lee Wai Sze (Hong Kong)
3. Lee Hye-Jin (Kor)

Madison’s Men:
1. Germany
2. Denmark
3. New Zealand

Madison women:
1. Netherlands
2. Belgium
3. France

All mannen;
Benjamin Thomas (Fra)
2. Campbell Stewart (NZ)
3. Jan Willem van Schip (Ned)

Omnium women:
1. Yumi Kajihara (Japan)
2. Kirsten Wild (Ned)
3. Jennifer Valente (VS)

Sprint men:
Harrie Lavreysen (Ned)
Jeffrey Hoogland (Ned)
3. Mateusz Rudyk (Pol)

Sprint women:
1. Lee Wai Sze (Hong Kong)
2. Emma Hinze (Germany)
3. Anastasiia Voinova (Rus)

Men’s team pursuit:
1. Denmark
2. Australia
3. New Zealand

Women’s team pursuit:
1. United States
2. Great Britain
3. Australia

Men’s team sprint:
1. Netherlands
2. Great Britain
3. France

Women’s team sprint:
1. Australia
2. Germany
3. Russia

MTB: 0 Dutch medal *

Men’s Cross Country:
1. Nino Schurter (Zwi)
Jordan Sarrou (Fra)
3. Mathias Flückiger (Zwi)

Cross Country Women:
Pauline Ferrand-Prevot (Fra)
2. Jolanda Neff (Zwi)
3. Kate Courtney (VS)

* You notice that Mathieu van der Poel’s name does not appear here. Analysis manager Simon Gleave explains: “Van der Poel is a delicate thing. He is taking part in an event that was not main sport in the old days. This puts him outside the top 3. He is in fact the exception of the thousands of athletes we have analyzed … “

BMX: 4 Dutch medals

BMX Freestyle Men:
1. Brandon Loupos (Aus)
2. Logan Martin (Aus)
3. Justin Dowel (VS)

BMX Freestyle Women:
1. Hannah Roberts (VS)
2. Macarena Peres (Chile)
3. Perris Benegas (VS)

BMX Race men:
Niek Kimmann (Ned)
2. Sylvain Andre (De)
3. Twan van Gendt (Ned)

BMX Race women:
1. Laura Smulders
2. Alise Willoughby (VS)
3. Judy Baauw (Ned)