March 15, 2021 – 9:40 pm – Morocco
Algeria could launch a military intervention in the Sahara, which could destabilize the region. At the very least, this is clear from the report of the Crisis Group, an international think tank, which recommends that Rabat accept Morocco’s international partners accused of negotiating the expansion of a new ambassador, without preconditions.
“It is wrong to assume that Algeria will play a neutral role. Algeria supports Polycario’s military tactical strategy. The authors of the report warn, entitled “Time for International Reinvestment in the Western Sahara.”
“To mitigate the risks, Morocco’s international partners – the United States and France – should urge Rabat to accept a new ambassador without preconditions. Then he should negotiate an extension that would bring both sides together. They call on the United States and the Security Council to choose a “more direct approach.” According to the authors of the report, the Biden administration may be reluctant to question the US recognition of Morocco’s sovereignty over the Sahara. “Nevertheless, he could consider other ways to reassure Policario, such as reaffirming Washington’s support for a six-month renewal of the Minnesota mandate.”
The think tank said that in order not to offend Morocco, the Security Council resolutions should explicitly mention the need to defend the El Gurgaon column. They point out that the Kingdom has set “more specific and stringent” conditions for the appointment of a UN special envoy for the Sahara. Morocco may have refused to appoint an ambassador from Germany to a Scandinavian country (because of the sympathy they have for the Sahrawi cause) (because Rabat found it difficult to oppose Berlin) or the Permanent Member of the Security Council (to avoid putting undue political pressure on the negotiations), “the think tank said.
One of the conditions of the kingdom is that the new UN ambassador takes into account the US government and its autonomous settlement. According to the authors of the report, these conditions “significantly reduced the number of potential candidates. A former foreign secretary is said to have approached this position.” No one wants to be associated with a diplomatic defeat. “
“Despite the mobilization of the police, most of the international response to the events in the Western Sahara has been in favor of a speedy withdrawal of the ceasefire, or Morocco’s position,” the think tank said.